Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 0.510594 0.581504 0.655305 0.737566 0.826415 0.919220 1.023213
2024-12-22 0.406083 0.504628 0.612836 0.739359 0.882138 1.037236 1.217409
2024-12-29 0.348802 0.469115 0.607620 0.776219 0.973327 1.194061 1.457519
2025-01-05 0.288311 0.420644 0.580376 0.782472 1.026594 1.307541 1.650875
2025-01-12 0.239975 0.379686 0.556248 0.787806 1.075855 1.415344 1.838656
2025-01-19 0.206445 0.352656 0.545417 0.806394 1.139336 1.539649 2.047126
2025-01-26 0.181040 0.332742 0.540780 0.830618 1.208636 1.670990 2.265339
2025-02-02 0.159395 0.314915 0.536443 0.853424 1.275238 1.799105 2.480837
2025-02-09 0.133602 0.286936 0.514888 0.850677 1.307162 1.883200 2.642341
2025-02-16 0.116230 0.269546 0.506367 0.864111 1.359312 1.992549 2.835759
2025-02-23 0.097480 0.246796 0.487468 0.861013 1.388017 2.071245 2.990722
2025-03-02 0.077269 0.217750 0.455863 0.837020 1.386258 2.109084 3.093048
2025-03-09 0.066948 0.205807 0.450663 0.851904 1.439230 2.220705 3.293335
2025-03-16 0.053393 0.184533 0.427988 0.838858 1.452004 2.278754 3.424835
2025-03-23 0.048338 0.180476 0.433971 0.869649 1.527473 2.421556 3.668286
2025-03-30 0.039920 0.166775 0.421663 0.870797 1.559707 2.506009 3.835837
2025-04-06 0.032911 0.154602 0.410742 0.873142 1.593119 2.591989 4.005877
2025-04-13 0.028519 0.148101 0.409624 0.890970 1.649337 2.709641 4.218887
2025-04-20 0.025318 0.144081 0.412750 0.915573 1.715755 2.841838 4.452221
2025-04-27 0.022382 0.140029 0.415351 0.939115 1.780737 2.972564 4.684577
2025-05-04 0.017788 0.128952 0.402615 0.935717 1.804285 3.045201 4.838936
2025-05-11 0.015045 0.123174 0.400201 0.949740 1.854469 3.155605 5.045141
2025-05-18 0.011704 0.113461 0.388278 0.946267 1.877078 3.226812 5.198265